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The Energy Forum | Center for Energy Studies | Podcast

Oil Market Outlook 2026: OPEC+, Geopolitics, and Price Risk

December 17, 2025 | Abhi Rajendran, Harold “Skip” York
Oil rig graph concept

Table of Contents

Author(s)

Abhi Rajendran

Nonresident Fellow

Harold “Skip” York

Nonresident Fellow in Energy and Global Oil

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Tags

OilOil and gasOil demandOil pricesGlobal energyThe Energy Forum

About the Episode

Oil markets are heading into 2026 with more uncertainty than prices suggest.

In this episode of “The Energy Forum,” Abhi Rajendran and Skip York discuss why oil prices have remained resilient despite apparent oversupply. They examine OPEC+ supply discipline, non-OPEC production growth, China’s oil stockpiling, and what these forces mean for market balance.

The conversation also explores geopolitics, sanctions, and tightening refining capacity, raising the risk that today’s soft crude prices could give way to higher fuel prices and a sharper rebound later this decade.

This conversation was recorded on Dec. 12, 2025. 

Subscribe and listen to “The Energy Forum” on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you listen to podcasts.

About ‘The Energy Forum’

Hosted by experts at the Baker Institute Center for Energy Studies, “The Energy Forum” podcast brings together policymakers, researchers, and industry leaders to explore key topics in energy and sustainability.

 

 

This material may be quoted or reproduced without prior permission, provided appropriate credit is given to the author and Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. The views expressed herein are those of the individual author(s), and do not necessarily represent the views of Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.

© 2025 Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy
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