Oil Market Outlook 2026: OPEC+, Geopolitics, and Price Risk
Table of Contents
Author(s)
Abhi Rajendran
Nonresident Fellow
Harold “Skip” York
Nonresident Fellow in Energy and Global Oil
About the Episode
Oil markets are heading into 2026 with more uncertainty than prices suggest.
In this episode of “The Energy Forum,” Abhi Rajendran and Skip York discuss why oil prices have remained resilient despite apparent oversupply. They examine OPEC+ supply discipline, non-OPEC production growth, China’s oil stockpiling, and what these forces mean for market balance.
The conversation also explores geopolitics, sanctions, and tightening refining capacity, raising the risk that today’s soft crude prices could give way to higher fuel prices and a sharper rebound later this decade.
This conversation was recorded on Dec. 12, 2025.
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About ‘The Energy Forum’
Hosted by experts at the Baker Institute Center for Energy Studies, “The Energy Forum” podcast brings together policymakers, researchers, and industry leaders to explore key topics in energy and sustainability.
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