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539 Results
One hundred dollar bills
The Unfavorable Economics of Currency Manipulation Chapters in Trade Agreements
As Congress resumes work this spring on a bill granting Trade Promotion Authority to President Obama for completion of the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade pact, many members have sought inclusion of a chapter on currency manipulation. Currency manipulation is a legitimate concern. However, countermeasures require clear, objective identification of currency manipulation. Both the IMF and the U.S. Treasury Department have mandates to identify currency manipulation, yet neither has done so in the past 20 years. If it can be done, why has it not happened more often? In this issue brief, Russell Green, Will Clayton Fellow in International Economics, reviews the difficulties of operationalizing a currency manipulation chapter and argues that the difficulty of identifying currency manipulation suggests serious political obstacles to implementation.
Russell Green April 27, 2015
anti-corruption protests in Brazil
Latin America Initiative | Issue Brief
After Tight Elections, Brazil Faces Hard Choices
Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff is starting her second term in office facing economic and political problems that feed into each other. These problems can be attributed to a large extent to mistakes her administration made during her first term. Rousseff’s macroeconomic policy proved to be inconsistent, and the choices she made in some key economic sectors, especially energy, were demonstrably disastrous. Rousseff now faces the enormous challenge of reconciling the leftwing populism that led her to victory with the inescapable need to regain the trust of the most dynamic sectors of Brazilian society, including the private sector.
Sergio Fausto March 30, 2015
To Lift or Not to Lift? The U.S. Crude Oil Export Ban: Implications for Price and Energy Security
This study examines the effects of lifting the 40-year-old U.S. crude export ban on crude pricing, energy security and energy sector investment. It includes a statistical analysis that explains what the relationship would be between the prices of crudes of different qualities in an unconstrained setting, which, according to author Ken Medlock, is important to providing a more accurate assessment of the impact of current U.S. policy.
Kenneth B. Medlock III March 24, 2015
Argentina oil flag
Latin America Initiative | Commentary
A Deadly Political Scandal Could Test Democracy in Argentina
The mysterious death of a special prosecutor who accused Argentina’s president of “an alliance with terrorists” has shaken the nation. If the prosecutor’s allegations prove to be true, the scandal will test whether democracy in Argentina means that all citizens — including the president — are accountable under the law.
February 19, 2015