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12 Results
Middle East
Winter Is Coming: Controlled Conflicts and the Oil-price Geopolitical-risk Premium
This paper presents a simple dynamic growth model of investment, consumption, passive military spending, and active military spending for an oil-exporting country. It argues that under conditions of significant geopolitical strife, a country might engage in a military conflict of limited scope and extent to drive up oil prices and revenues.
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal November 21, 2016
US flag drapes around Middle East regional map
Rethinking U.S. Strategy in the Middle East
What strategy should the U.S. pursue in confronting ISIL and addressing the broader challenges of Iraq, Syria, Iran, Yemen, stability in the Persian Gulf, and the ever-present Israeli-Palestinian dispute? Leadership and engagement play a part, of course, but they must be subservient to a U.S. strategy whose objective is to protect and, if possible, advance our core interests in the region.
Joe Barnes, Andrew Bowen June 19, 2015