Political science fellow Mark Jones gives the Democrats a 1 in 3 — or 2 in 5 — chance of flipping Texas' lower chamber; Republicans will retain a Senate majority, he says. Democrats made solid inroads in 2018 by flipping 12 state House seats. Read more at the Dallas Observer.
Texas Democrats’ only hope of having some direct or indirect impact on the 2021 redistricting process is to take control of the Texas House. By the same token, if the Texas GOP can retain its House majority, it will be able to draw tailor-made legislative districts that will increase its prospects of retaining control of the Texas Senate and House during the next decade.
Click here for Jones' latest ratings of the Texas House seats deemed to be competitive in terms of the ability of a candidate from either party to win in November 2020.
Gary J. Hale
Jul 30 2021 | Center for the U.S. and Mexico
Rachel A. Meidl
Jul 29 2021 | Center for Energy Studies